Power Line has a good post [ed.: link updated to an archived link because the original was broken] on a new Gallup poll. The upshot of it is that huge numbers of Democrats say they will defect and vote for Senator McCain if the Democratic nominee is not their pick between Senators Obama and Clinton. Of Clinton supporters, 28% say they would sooner vote for McCain than for Obama, while 19% of Obama supporters would defect rather than vote for Clinton.
From Paul Mirengoff’s post:
I think this poll significantly overstates the number of Democrats who would defect in either scenario. What’s important, though, is that Obama’s defection rate if Hillary wins is much larger than Hillary’s defection rate is if Obama wins (at least according to this survey).
I agree with this. Just as countless Republican voters threatened at one point to defect rather than vote for McCain (or any other GOP candidate, in some cases), yet no real opposition movement – Ann Coulter does not count as a movement – has coalesced around abstention or defection, I suspect the Gallup poll does wildly overstate both numbers. Still, it’s a telling condemnation of the Democratic base’s loyalties this year.
The 2008 U.S. News rankings of law schools leaked, today, as a number of websites reported. See, for example, Abovethelaw.com [ed.: link updated to an archived link because the original was broken]. One of the major points people are talking about is that Penn and Chicago, still tied, dropped to seventh, while the University of California at Berkeley (formerly Boalt Hall) jumped to sixth. Meanwhile, Michigan and Virginia continued their unjustified slides, while Northwestern climbed into a tie with those schools for ninth.
Now, the U.S. News rankings have been subjected to a lot of criticism elsewhere, but the results this year make even less sense than usual. For deconstructions of the rankings (in general and this year), see Brian Leiter’s Open Letter to Other Law Bloggers [ed.: link updated to an archived link because the original was broken], Concurring Opinions, or Jim Lindgren’s post on the Volokh Conspiracy.
I’m not a fan of the U.S. News rankings, but it seemed appropriate to at least mention them on here.
I’ve been rather silent on here in the last couple weeks – finals and Spring Break will do that. Throw in an early birthday present (a Wii!), and posting has been a low priority.
Anyway, the New York Times has an interesting post on McCain and Obama on subprime bailouts
Hat tip Greg Mankiw.